AA 1341 · MIA → SJU

took off 8:58 AM ET · expected to land 11:13 AM AT (scheduled 8:45 AM ET → 11:36 AM AT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJU?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

SJU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1341 · MIA → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?