AA 1410 · DEN → CLT

took off 11:13 AM MT · landed 3:46 PM ET (scheduled 10:18 AM MT → 3:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1410 · DEN → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?