AA 1806 · LGA → DFW

departs 10:16 AM ET · arrives 12:56 PM CT

Your aircraft is N318TD (B38M), coming in as AA 327 from ORD: landed 8:54 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1806 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?