AA 1886 · MIA → BOS

took off 12:55 PM ET · expected to land 3:46 PM ET (scheduled 12:47 PM ET → 4:23 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1886 · MIA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?