AA 1893 · DCA → FLL

took off 8:11 AM ET · landed 10:19 AM ET (scheduled 7:56 AM ET → 10:53 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ FLL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

FLL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1893 · DCA → FLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to FLL?