Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1946 SCHEDULED
Today

AA 1946 · MIA → STX

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 4:24 PM AST
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at STX more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to STX?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.