AA 1977 · PHL → SJU

took off 11:08 AM ET · landed 2:29 PM AT (scheduled 9:29 AM ET → 1:28 PM AT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↑ Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

SJU (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1977 · PHL → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?