AA 2183 · MIA → DFW

departs 2:12 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM CT

Your aircraft is N160AN (A321), coming in as AA 868 from DFW: landed 12:28 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2183 · MIA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?