AA 2232 · LGA → CLT

departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 7:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

CLT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2232 · LGA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?