tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2236 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:44 PM ET, ETA 10:59 PM ET)
Today

AA 2236 · PHL → RSW

took off 8:44 PM ET · expected to land 10:59 PM ET (scheduled 8:09 PM ET → 11:20 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RSW?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.