AA 2404 · PHL → BOS

departs 5:33 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM ET

Your aircraft is N751UW (A319), coming in as AA 3083 from ATL: landed 4:14 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2404 · PHL → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?