AA 3122 · RDU → MIA

took off 8:11 AM ET · landed 9:50 AM ET (scheduled 7:19 AM ET → 9:33 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3122 · RDU → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?