AA 3235 · DCA → BOS

departs 7:01 AM ET · arrives 8:38 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.85714 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.36 in

BOS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.85714 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3235 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?