Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3310 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

AA 3310 · DCA → TPA

departs 3:46 PM ET · arrives 6:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.41 in

TPA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3310 · DCA → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?