AA 508 · LGA → TPA

took off 8:20 PM ET · landed 10:32 PM ET (scheduled 4:43 PM ET → 7:39 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

TPA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 508 · LGA → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?