AA 813 · DFW → EWR

departs 11:53 AM CT · arrives 4:27 PM ET

Your aircraft is N146AA (A321), coming in as AA 2535 from SAN: landed 11:01 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 813 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?