AF 90 · CDG → MIA

departs 1:53 PM CEST · arrives 6:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 90 · CDG → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?