Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 484 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:02 AM CST, SEEN BY ADS-B)
Today

AM 484 · MEX → LAS

took off 9:02 AM CST (scheduled 8:40 AM CST → 11:26 AM PT)
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.