Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 484SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 484 · MEX → LAS
departs 8:40 AM CST · arrives 11:27 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±5 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.