Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AEROLÍNEAS ARGENTINAS · FLIGHT AR 1304 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

AR 1304 · EZE → MIA

departs 1:40 PM -03 · arrives 9:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EZE

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EZE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AR 1304 · EZE → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?