Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 460 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:05 PM PT (1 H 23 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

AS 460 · SEA → BOS

departs 3:36 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 460 · SEA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?