tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 4916 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AV 4916 · BOG → MIA

departs 3:56 AM -05 · arrives 8:51 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.