tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 4916 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AV 4916 · MIA → MLB

departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 11:34 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MLB?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.