B6 1047 · PHL → SJU

took off 2:53 PM ET · landed 6:15 PM AT (scheduled 11:42 AM ET → 3:39 PM AT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

SJU (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1047 · PHL → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?