B6 1480 · FLL → DCA

took off 8:36 AM ET · landed 10:34 AM ET (scheduled 7:32 AM ET → 10:06 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DCA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ FLL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1480 · FLL → DCA

Odds over time

How late did it get to DCA?