B6 1680 · FLL → DCA

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 3:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1680 · FLL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?