Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
B6 2040 · CLE → BOS
departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 1:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 24%
Wed 10/14 26%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
BOS is busy at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at CLE that day
↓
11am departures from CLE are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.