Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 2040 · CLE → BOS
departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 1:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Mon 10/12 31%
Tue 10/13 25%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
BOS is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
11am departures from CLE are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.