Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 627
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
B6 627 · JFK → POP
departs 10:06 AM ET · arrives 1:51 PM AST
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 22%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at POP more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at POP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at POP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to POP?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at JFK that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into POP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.33333 mi Precip 0.13 in
POP (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.