Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 627
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
B6 627 · JFK → POP
departs 10:06 AM ET · arrives 2:12 PM AST
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/12 35%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 22%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at POP more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at POP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at POP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to POP?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at POP that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
POP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
POP (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.