Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 754
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
B6 754 · DCA → BOS
departs 12:20 PM ET · arrives 2:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 41%
Wed 10/14 37%
Thu 10/15 21%
Sat 10/17 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.41 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.