Schedule: FAA flight plans.

COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4291 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:25 PM ET (18 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

C5 4291 · BUF → IAD

departs 2:57 PM ET · arrives 4:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
52% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.