Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4934
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
C5 4934 · LCH → IAH
departs 12:13 PM CT · arrives 1:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 13%
Fri 10/16 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave LCH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↓
LCH usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LCH (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.