tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CHINA · FLIGHT CA 981 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CA 981 · PEK → JFK

departs 7:35 PM CST · arrives 10:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.