tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CHINA · FLIGHT CA 982 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CA 982 · JFK → PEK

departs 2:16 AM ET · arrives 4:58 AM CST
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at PEK more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.1d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PEK?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.