CM 226 · PTY → MIA

took off · landed 12:28 PM ET (scheduled 8:01 AM EST → 12:00 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at PTY that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PTY is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PTY (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CM 226 · PTY → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?