DL 1404 · CHS → LGA

departs 2:52 PM ET · arrives 4:48 PM ET

Your aircraft is N333DU (BCS3).

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1404 · CHS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?