Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1789
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
DL 1789 · MIA → HAV
departs 2:03 PM ET · arrives 3:23 PM CDT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 24%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at HAV more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at HAV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HAV?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into HAV at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
HAV (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.