Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2198 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 4:33 PM PT (57 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

DL 2198 · LAX → MSP

departs 3:22 PM PT · arrives 8:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.22 in

MSP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2198 · LAX → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?