F9 1611 · MCO → CMH

took off 6:09 AM ET · landed 8:00 AM ET (scheduled 5:54 AM ET → 8:27 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CMH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MCO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1611 · MCO → CMH

Odds over time

How late did it get to CMH?