Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1725
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
F9 1725 · SJU → PHL
departs 6:50 PM AT · arrives 10:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 30%
Wed 10/14 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.