Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1725
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
F9 1725 · SJU → PHL
departs 5:21 PM AT · arrives 9:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/13 30%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.