F9 1958 · IAH → DTW

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 7:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1958 · IAH → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?