Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 1958 · IAH → DTW
departs 4:10 PM CT · arrives 8:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 43%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 28%
Thu 10/15 39%
Fri 10/16 35%
Sat 10/17 29%
Sun 10/18 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.