Schedule: FAA flight plans.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2440 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:19 PM MT, ETA 7:02 PM ET)
Today

F9 2440 · DEN → RDU

took off 2:19 PM MT · expected to land 7:02 PM ET (scheduled 1:14 PM MT → 6:45 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
81% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    19%
  2. 15–30 min late
    54%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    27%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.