G7 4181 · CRP → IAH

departs 12:11 PM CT · arrives 1:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ G7's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ 12pm departures from CRP are usually not late

Weather at each end

CRP (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4181 · CRP → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?