Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4181
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4181 · CRP → IAH
departs 12:09 PM CT · arrives 1:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Tue 10/13 20%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.