Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4433
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
G7 4433 · EWR → DCA
departs 2:13 PM ET · arrives 3:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at EWR that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 333 ft Visibility 1.66667 mi Precip 0.12 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.