Schedule: FAA flight plans.

GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4516 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:45 AM ET (22 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

G7 4516 · EWR → DCA

departs 9:13 AM ET · arrives 10:31 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 233 ft, visibility down to 0.666667 mi forecast at EWR that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling233 ft Visibility0.666667 mi Precip0.14 in

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.33333 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4516 · EWR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?