Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4581
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
G7 4581 · IAH → TUL
departs 12:18 PM CT · arrives 2:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 25%
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
G7's recent on-time record
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at TUL that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.